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2024-12-14 08:54:51

CICC: The CPI of the United States rose as scheduled in November, but it did not hinder the interest rate cut. CICC released a research report saying that the CPI and core CPI of the United States both rose to 0.31% in November, which was basically in line with the market and its expectations. For the post-election policies, if the immigration and tariff policies are too radical, it will bring pressure to inflation at the end of next year, which will have an impact on the market and even the mid-term elections. Therefore, before the mid-term elections, due to the "realistic constraints" of inflation, the inflation policy will be faster, but the scope may be limited, while the growth policy will be faster, and then the overall assets will still be positive. According to the difference between the natural interest rate and the real interest rate, CICC estimates that after the interest rate cut in December, there may still be two or three interest rate cuts in 2025, with the end point of interest rate cut at 3.5-3.75% and the center corresponding to long-term US debt at 3.8-4%.Spot platinum just broke through the $940.00/oz mark, and the latest price was $940.90/oz, up 0.58% in the day; The main force of Nymex platinum futures recently reported $951.9 per ounce, up 0.12% in the day.New york gold futures rose by 1.3% and stood at $2,750 on the release date of US CPI inflation data. In late new york on Wednesday (December 11th), spot gold rose by 0.89% to $2,718.31/ounce, and the refresh date at 13:05 Beijing time was as low as $2,675.69-a short-term V-shaped reversal occurred, and the US CPI data failed to break around $2,695 earlier in the day. After the US Treasury Department disclosed the results of the 10-year benchmark bond at 02:00, the daily refresh rate reached $2,721.14, which stood on the 50-day moving average for two consecutive trading days (the technical index was temporarily reported at $2,669.93). Spot silver was roughly flat at $31.9030 per ounce. COMEX gold futures rose by 1.29% to $2,753.60 per ounce, and rose to $2,759.70 at 23:42, which was on the rise all day. COMEX silver futures rose 0.15% to $32.795 an ounce. COMEX copper futures fell 0.23% to $4.2620/lb.


The policy continued to catalyze the large consumption sector or welcome a new round of valuation to repair the market. On December 11, the A-share market shrank. The concept sector of big consumption has been concerned by the market, and the food, beverage and retail sectors are among the top gainers. Analysts believe that near the Spring Festival, the top-down emphasis on domestic demand and policy expectations are heating up, and the big consumer sector is expected to usher in a new round of valuation repair. An Yaze, chief analyst of the food and beverage industry of CITIC Jiantou Securities, said that the recent introduction of a series of incremental fiscal and monetary policies has released a clear policy signal to strive to achieve the goals and tasks of economic and social development throughout the year, focusing on boosting consumption and expanding effective domestic demand. The food and beverage industry is expected to usher in a turning point in the boom. (china securities journal)Blackstone secured loan fund will issue 300 million USD 5.350% unsecured notes at a fixed price, with a maturity date of 2028.Australia announced the establishment of bass strait (the strait between the Australian mainland and Tasmania) offshore wind power area in Tasmania, southeast of Australia.


According to South Korean media reports on the 12th, South Korea's National Archives Institute and the President's Archives began to check the emergency martial law related files.Market News: The United Nations General Assembly adopted a resolution by an overwhelming majority, demanding an immediate and unconditional permanent ceasefire in the Gaza Strip.In response to Trump's tariff threat, the Canadian Prime Minister held another meeting with provincial governors. On December 11, local time, Canadian Prime Minister Trudeau held another meeting with provincial governors to discuss the tariff threat of US President-elect Trump. This is the second time that Trudeau has held a meeting with provincial governors since Trump threatened to impose a high tariff of 25% on Canada last month. It is also the first time that Trudeau has met with governors after having dinner with Trump at Haihu Manor. Trudeau said that if Trump really continues to impose a 25% tariff on all Canadian goods shipped to the United States, Canada is prepared to make some kind of response. The outside world believes that this statement means that Canada will impose retaliatory tariffs on some American goods. (CCTV News)

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